I’ve grown up fostering a tremendous love of American party politics. My parents, being the avid Meet the Press viewers that they were during the Russert era, more or less ensured this.
During the Obama-McCain race, I was the only person in my eighth grade class with any understanding of what was going on in the political world. In 2012, when the votes were being reported for the Obama-Romney race, you would have found me huddled up with my friend, Brie, watching the results in her dorm.
As any frequent Katelyn’s Candor readers would be able to guess, I celebrated when Obama was re-elected. That said, I find myself having a very apathetic attitude toward the 2016 presidential elections.
The race has officially begun as multiple candidates have announced their plans to seek the presidency. First to the starting line was Ted Cruz, a Republican senator from Texas known for his 21 hour filibuster against Obamacare in 2013. Cruz announced his plans to run via Twitter on March 23 at midnight; he formally announced later that day.
The only potentially interesting aspect of Cruz’s run: the circumstances surrounding his birth. Cruz was born to an American mother, but he was born in Canada. If we remember the birther movement following speculation that Obama was actually born in Kenya (spoiler: he was not), we know that there are people out there who are very, very nitpicky about the birthplace of our potential leaders.
That said, will there be a rising of a birther movement on the other side of the aisle? My guess: not a chance.
Second to the race was Senator Rand Paul (R-Ky.), a tea party supporter who represents strong right-wing ideals. Senator Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) also announced his plans to seek the presidency on Monday, April 13.
On the democratic side, Hillary Clinton has thrown her hat in the ring. Don’t get me wrong, I’m thrilled. However, this has been predictable for years. From the time she lost the Democratic nomination in 2008, she refused to give a direct answer when asked if she would run for the presidency.
This is also significant when one considers no other major democratic figures have even suggested they might run, and it seems as if the Democratic National Committee has put all their chips on Clinton’s run.
In fact, Clinton’s campaign and likely eventual win of the democratic nomination has been accepted by the republicans pursuing the presidency. Shortly after he announced his plans to run for president, Paul tweeted that the media attacks him because he is “the best candidate to take on Hillary.” Additionally, shortly before he announced his plans, Cruz stated that Clinton’s record as Secretary of State—especially the Benghazi incident of 2012—will ultimately be her downfall, according to Politico.
As I’ve spent approximately 500 words complaining about the predictability of the 2016 race, allow me to predict what is coming next.
Within the next month, former governor Jeb Bush (R-Fla.) will enter the arena. As a member of the Bush political dynasty started by his father and his brother (and let’s face it, most people have forgotten that George W. Bush may have “exaggerated” the possibility of Iraq having weapons of mass destruction), he will have a strong political backing from republicans nationwide. Better yet, he is generally not considered to be a member of the tea party, so he does not need to worry as much about alienating right-leaning moderates.
I would also not be horribly shocked to see Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) announce her candidacy. She has said in the past she would not run—but many candidates have said this in the past. Having similar policy views to Clinton without the controversial Benghazi record, she is a logical second choice for the DNC in case Clinton’s record becomes too problematic.
Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson will also attempt to run, acting as the “Herman Caine” or “Michelle Bachman” of the 2016 race, having a variety of non-cohesive right-wing views. My theory is he will drop out of the race long before the Republican National Convention formally nominates someone for the presidential race.
Other republicans, such as Scott Walker, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum will inevitably attempt to run.
In all, I suppose I find the race dull thus far. I know the election is still far off, and I hope that things change in the time. I’m waiting for new candidates—both republicans and democrats—to shake things up and surprise America. Predictability is boring. There are 572 days until Election Day, and I hope I can be surprised by then.